Monday 22 December 2008

Why 2009 must be bad

Jupiter( retrograde )in Aquarius (Chinese call it wood pole striking the precious vase)
Saturn (retrograde till mid-yr) in Virgo (chinese call it earth burrying double-girl)

22 Dec HSI

porky: next chicken day is 23 Dec chicken is the stationary point and Ding Fire could be bad(Kuo Mun Fa Gay in Tse Mei Tou Sou)so may be another stage after X'masThey say window-dressing before X'Mas, I 'll rather trust myself
P.S.Porky is my pen-name in hkej.com

Tuesday 9 December 2008

HSI outlook

Major Bradley tturn day on 15th
Lunar Mid-month on 12th
chicken day 0n 12th
final phase of this advance?

Tuesday 2 December 2008

Why Mengniu(2319.hk) might not need KKR capital

KKR started operation on 1 May 1976 or in Chinese 4Pillars astrology/calendar

癸 Gui-Water 丑 ChouOx (1st)
壬 Ren+Water 辰 ChenDragon(May)
丙 Bing+Fire 辰 ChenDragon (1076)

which comes to 丙 Bing+Fire 申 ShenMonkey 10-yr trend now. Note 2010 is a 庚 Geng+Metal 寅 YinTiger year. the 2010 pillar will clash with KKR 10-yr trend.
Watch for for KKR in 2009/10


Mengniu(2319.hk) was listed on 04-Jun-10 or

辛 Xin-Metal 巳 SiSnake (market-open)
庚 Geng+Metal 申 ShenMonkey (1st)
庚 Geng+Metal 午 WuHorse (May)
甲 Jia+Wood 申 ShenMonkey(2004)
Mengniu already has 2 monkeys and it won't need another monkey from KKR

On Merger of British Airways and Quantas

British Airways was founded on 31 /3/74 which in Chinese 4 Pillars writes as
甲 Jia+Wood 寅 YinTiger Year 1974
丁 Ding-Fire 卯 MaoRabbit Month Mar
辛 Xin-Metal WeiGoat 31st Day

Now it is having 2006/15 trend
also as
辛 Xin-Metal
未 WeiGoat WeiGoat
So air-liners difficulties is within expectation 2006/15
It was first listed in London Stock Exchange on 11 Feb 1987
in 4 Pillars:
癸 Gui-Water 巳 SiSnake (Hr 9-11 am)

辛 Xin-Metal 卯 MaoRabbit (Day-11)

壬 Ren+Water 寅 YinTiger (Feb)

丁 Ding-Fire 卯 MaoRa (1987 )
the 2008/17 ten yr tend is
己 Ji-Earth 亥 HaiPig and it clashes with the 2-hr癸 Gui-Water 巳 SiSnake
So the stock movement is unfavourable

Quantas was founded on 16 Nov 1920 and the 4 pillars run as

戊 Wu+Earth 寅 YinTiger (16th)
丁 Ding-Fire 亥 HaiPig (Nov)
庚 Geng+Metal 申 ShenMonkey (1920)
Its 2007/16 trend is 丙 Bing+Fire 申 ShenMonkey Monkey Yr born facinh Monkey trend is odd

Quantas was firsted listed in ASX on 31 JUl 1995 and in 4 Pillars run as


丁 Ding-Fire 巳 SiSnake 2-Hr

癸 Gui-Water 亥 HaiPig Day

癸 Gui-Water 未 WeiGoat Month

乙 Yi-Wood 亥 Hai Year

and its 2003/12 trend is 壬 Ren+Water 午 WuHorse which is clashed totally by 2008 戊 Wu+Earth 子 ZiRat
Again the Air-liner difficulty is seen

On the matter of Air-Liner mergers, THe D.O.B. of Quantas Mr. Leigh Clifford which is 8 SEp 1047 (from Marclays web-page) runs in 4Pillars as

庚 Geng+Metal 寅 YinTiger Day

戊 Wu+Earth 申 ShenMonkey Month

丁 Ding-Fire 亥 HaiPig Year

2010happens to be a 庚 Geng+Metal 寅 YinTiger year which badly coincudes wuth his day of birth pillar

2010 could be a difficult year

Sunday 30 November 2008

Toyota Motor Corporation Debt Rating Cut Over US Sales Slump

Toyota (72030)was listed on Toyoko Stock Exchange on 1949 May 16. So 2009 will be its 60-yr cycle anniversary
Also it is now doing its 54-63 pig trend. 2008 is a rat yr. It was listed on a ox yr. The pig-ox-rat trine will form sea water which clashes its daily entity-pos.fire
It was incorporated on 27 Aug 1937. It was an Ox yr Now it is doing its 67-76 ox trend and 2009 will be an Ox yr

Toyota(TM;ADR) was listed in NYSE on 29 Sep 1999 .It is body week so it cannot stand the 2009 fortune yr

Friday 28 November 2008

Thailand Chaos

Thailand Emperor Rama IX reigned since 9 Jun 1946, That day is a tiger-horse-dog square (no good)Since 2005 his reign (9-Jun-46)is having a pos. metal-rat 10-yr trend which opposes his reign's monthly pos.wood-horse pillar (no good)Worse, 2008 is a pos.earth-rat yr which also clashes that monthly pillarRama IX was born on 5 Dec 1927. That day is a neg.water-rooster day He is now having a neg.water-rabbit trend so his daily pillar 's earth root (rooster) is being clashed by the rabbit.Also this 2008 pos.earth-rat yr has a rabbit-rat square
(also in HKEJ reader's forum as Porky's Response)

Dr Li -the Warren Buffet of HK ?

Ref-Porky's Response in
http://www.hkej.com/template/forum/php/forum_details.php?blog_posts_id=6320
Dr Li should enjoy his life definitely
Dr. Lee Shau Kee was born on 29 Jan 1928He is a positive earth man born in OX month. So I think he is body strong (4Pillars terminology)Now he is having a wood-fire 10-yr trend which he dsoesn't needI have nothing against him but he is not having his finese hours in lifeThis is perhaps why he fails to become the Warren Buffet of HK

HSI market outlook

http://www.hkej.com/template/forum/php/forum_details.php?blog_posts_id=6330) (Porky's Response)
By Obama DOB 2011 is a bad yr
By HSI first trading day (1964-7-31) 2011 is a bad yr
By HK-SAR inauguration date (1997-7-1 ) 2011 is a bad yr
My guess is 2009-bad
2010-fake recovery
2011 bad

The Perils of Incrementalism


My view is EU a gang of strange bed-fellows

Maastrict Treaty-7 Feb 1992 clashes totally against

European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet 's birthday :20 Dec 1942
and
European Central Bank formation day: 1 Jun 1998

porky: Economist took an European Perspective.I recall Tim Rogers predicted before the disinregration of EUNote that the Maastrict Treaty was signed on 7 Feb 1992. It is a negative water-ox day. Now 2008 is a positive earth- rat yr. We have heaven and earth combination of the two which is no good for Maastrict Treaty (EU)Startibg 2011 it will come to a positive wood-dragon 10-yr trend which is hurting official position sitting above the official position
No good
porky: Note Also European Central Bank Presient Jean Claude Trichet (DOB-20 Dec 1942) and European CentraL Bank (DOB-1 Jun 1998) will both have a negative earth-Sheep 10-yr trend starting 2009/10 . This trend(s)ckashes with the day wich Maastrict Treaty was signed (Positive water-Ox day)
http://www.hkej.com/template/forum/php/forum_details.php?blog_posts_id=6331 (Porky's response)

GS takes advantage of TALF

Goldman Sachs(NTSE:GS) was listed on 1999-May-04. It is a positive fire entity (4-Pillars terminology) born in the year of the rabbit. Now 2008 is the start of a 10 yr negative fire-rabbit trend. Suppose no good for GS as we all now know

Term Asset Backed Securities loan Facility (TALF) was announced on Nov 25 08. It is a negative water entity born in watery rat month and pig day. So it needs fire and would accept GS .

Note that 2009 is a Ox yr. Pig-Rat-Ox will form a very watery inconjunction which is no good for TALF. watch out for TALF in 2009

Wednesday 26 November 2008

The HSI rebounce about to finish

It is just a rebounce, about to finish
http://www.hkej.com./template/forum/php/forum_details.php?blog_posts_id=6267&success=y (my view is under the name of Porky)

China Economic Outlook

Sir Cho and many others are having a heated debate on the economic future of China
Here is my Astrology wild guess
http://www.hkej.com./template/forum/php/forum_details.php?blog_posts_id=6238&success=y
My view in the captioned column (by the mane of Porky) is 2007-2016 are bad yrs

Tuesday 25 November 2008

HK Travel Agencies In Financial Trouble?

http://www.hkej.com/template/forum/php/forum_details.php?blog_posts_id=6204&success=y

Mundane Astrology of HK 2009 is bad for travel business

THe Four Pillar Astrology Outlook for Petrochina 857HK

http://www.hkej.com/template/forum/php/forum_details.php?blog_posts_id=6213
My analysis is written under the name of Porky for 857.hk
a bearish oulook on/after 2009
refer-
company formation date 1999-Nov-5
HKEX listed date 2000-Apr- 7

GOME 00493.hk

I published this in HK Economic Journal Forum under the name Porky yesterday
00493.hk was listed in HKEX on 1992-4-15 10.am. The natal Tou Shou chart sees both the houses of parent(Wong Kwiong Yu) and brother (SH.600385) bad

The prevailing 10-yr trend is bad and 2008 housde of parent is bad
Gome was listed by changeb of name form China Eagle on 10 Seo 2004
The natal chart is bad

Wong Kwong Yu joined Board on 18 April 2002. 2008 is a yr when his postion is being taken awayby 4Pillar astrology

The Shanghai listed ST 600385 was incorporated on 1992-06-03 . 2009 and its 2003/12 10-yr trend form a ox-sheep-dog threat with the in-corporation date
It wasv listed on SHEX on 2001-7-23. Both 10-yr and 2008 yrly chart sees ill-times with the house of parents

Sunday 23 November 2008

Chinese 4Pillar Astrology Analysis on President-Elect Barack Obama Economic Team Announcement

PLs refer www.fourpillars.net/calculator.php for 4Pilars calculations in English

Obama, born Aug 4, 1961: In Chinese 4 Pillar terminolgy, his 2010-2009 10 year trend is positive metal-tiger.
The 2010 year in 4 Pillar terminolgy is also positive metal-tiger
Will be a very bad year for Obama

Lawrence Summers (in-coming Director of National Council), born Nov 30,1954: He was born on the positive metal-tiger day. 2010 will be a difficult yr for him.

Timothy Geither (in-coming Ecretary of Yreasury), born on Aug 18,1961. His 2004-13 ten-yr trend is negative metal-rabbit. 2011 is a negative metal-rabbit yr. 2011 a hard time for him

Melody Barnes(in-coming Director of Domestic Policy Council) born on Apr 29,1964. She was born in the dragon yr and dragon month. 2012 is a dragon year. Also as Romer is a positive earth female, 2012 which is a positive water-dragon yr will bethe time when her fortune(pos. water) is being taken away by others (dragon is pos. earth)

Christina Romer (in-coming Chair of Council of Economic Advisers), born Dec25,1958. She was born in a positive earth-dog yr. 2012 is a positive water-dragon yr. As earth clashes water and dog clashes dragon and one's yearky pillar means institutions and external environment. 2012 could be a bad yr for her office

I hope Chris Lu will come across this material. His Chinese ancestry might help the new team to have a grasp of what I try to say here.

One more supplemental info:the inauguration date on Jan 20 2009 has a 4 Pillar astrology meaning that fortune will be competed amongst by different people or money is not enough here

Thursday 20 November 2008

G20 and IMF

G20 was formed on 1999-Dec-16
By Chinese 4 Pillars, the yrly pillar is the office/jobs/positions being taken off
the monthly pillar is fortune being taken off

IMF was formed on Dec 27 1945 Bretton Woods. It is now having a 2002/11 10-yr Positive water-horse trend and 2008 as a positive earth-rat yr clashes the 10-yr trend totally. This is why Gordion Brown urges an IMF bailout
IMF was formed in 1945 as a negative wood-rooster yr. 2011 as a negative wood-rabbit yr will clashes the yearly pillar totally. Watchout

Tuesday 18 November 2008

On Jerry Yang quits Yahoo

Jerry Tang was born on 1968 Nov 6. In Chinese 4 Pillar Astrology language He was born in the Shen (monkey) yr-Chen (dragon) day and 2008 is a ZI (Rat) yr. The three animal zodiac symbols form a Water trine. The flood water will ruin his earth ( Wu-Xu dog ) which is his establishment. He is having a Ding-fire (official position) 10-yr trend starting 2008 which unfortunately combines with his Ren (sea water) month,so the job is being taken away

Note that Yahoo was incorporated on 95. March 11 .It was a Hei(Pig) yr. The incorporation date is now having a 2003/13 Ding Chou(Ox) 10-yr trend. 2008 is a Wu-Zi(Rat) yr. Again the three animal zodiacs conjugate to form Water which adds on the above jeopardy

On Mr Jerry Yang 's comment saying the Ad industry is having the toughest downturn in decades, Yahoo was first traded (IPO) on 96. April 12. Now 2003/14 is the IPO fortune (Gui water)-Establishment(Si snake fire) 10 yr trend so the water fortune is being hurt by the snake fire. 2008 Wu-zi yr is the IPO's rib-off (wu) the fortune yr (zi)

Friday 12 September 2008

Monday 5 May 2008

May 4 08

Family pre-occupations has filled much of my time lately and I couldn't do much comment.
Here and now, Hong Kong HSI has its Bol (6,2.33) upper band touched the upper band of Bol(34,2.33) about a week ago. Top-off
Slow K/D (6,6) shows bearish sign
ROC(10) has successive lower tops a bearish divergence from HSI successive upper tops
Down-prone

Saturday 15 March 2008

Spring Equinox 2008 Mundane Astrology of HK

On 2008-Mar-20 5:48(UTC) Spring Equinox, the 2008 HK mundane astrology chart (13:48 local UTC+8 114.10E 22.18N Equal House Ecliptic), is as follows
House 1 (the Whole Picture)- 26 Can 1-no major planets-a weak year?
House 2(Economy)-26 Leo 17- Saturn in Retrograde-a bad year?
Moon in Leo-Responsibility and Risk-Averse-Being cautious?
House 6 (Public Health) 26 Sag 17-Jupiter- Financing options?
Pluto- epidermics?
House 7 (Foreign Affairs) 26 Cap 17- Neptune- foreign economies no longer on dreams bit in sweat works
House 8 (Finances with Foreigns) 26 Aqu 17 Uranus- some money parking to HK
Venus
Mercury
House 12 (Prisons and Hospitals) 26 Gem 17 Mars -disputes

Thursday 13 March 2008

13 Mar HK-HSI Aftermarket

The semi-conductor SOX index gave hints on theHK-HSI fall

Tuesday 11 March 2008

$HSI:$XJY

The reversal is obvious

$HSI:$XJY

The reversal is obvious

Taiwan Stocks listed in HKEX

HK:157 Natural Beauty(03-Mar-28) Cosmetics I expects a rebounce in mid-March but my wild guess is its calibre is not that good
HK:210 Prime Sucess (1995-Nov-3) Shoes Its 4 Pillar needs hard wood. Not my 2008 bet
HK:258 Thomson Group(1990-Mar-21) Property See if any surge by 08 Jul
HK:322 Ting Yi (1996-Feb-5) Noodles My wild guess is Mar surge will finish and worsen off by April
HK:471 Clobal Flex(2005-Oct-10) celluphone My guess is real action if any will not start till mid or late 2008
HK:425 Minth Gp (2005-Dec-1) autos My guess is 2008 a bad year especially by May
HK:531 Sarson (2005-Nov-17) furniture 2008 a fortune year but beware for bas staff
HK:636 Fubon (93-Nov-8) banks 2008 a bad year fall by April
HK:903 TPV Technology (99-Oct-8) LDC real surge by May
HK:981 SMIC (04-Mar-18) chips good
HK:2038 FIH( 05-Feb-3) 2008 not a good year

Wednesday 5 March 2008

HSI and SOX intermarket analysis

Investopedia suggests a high correlation between Hong Kong HSI and Philadelphia Semiconductor Index ($sox-stockcharts.com)
If so, I believe in a short rebounce in morning start then fall again (assume US overnite market sees no major stumble)
Still bearish on HSI

$CAD is also weak

Take $CAD as weak sfter $AUD stumble

Tuesday 4 March 2008

Turkey

Astrologyweekly.com presents a Turkey Republic Natal Chart (29 Oct 1923 8.30pm in Ankara )(UTC+2)
the Chinese equiv time is 30 Oct 1929 2.30am (UTC+8)
Chinese Tse Mei tou Shou natal chart (conv to Chinese equiv time) sees a bad 2009
Its 4 pillar (Turkey local time) is also not impressive
Using 2008 and 2009 Spring Equinox to do Mundane astrology chart (Chinese 7 planets), there are potentia threatsl in 2008 and real danger in 2009
The main stock index is Turkey ISE national 100 (Istanbul) index. Analysus could be done with Stockcharts
Stocks commemced trading on 3 Jan 1986 9:30am (Istanbul local). Chinese Astrology sees 2008 a critical year and 2009 a bad year. 4 Pillar has the month notation same as the 2008 chinese calendar notation. Take accordingly and sees if any abrupt change (not necessarily bad ny 2008 June)

3 flying Star in West and 2008 Europe Demise?

Yloleon with the hkheadline has expressed a view that Feng Shui Flying STar 3 in West(Fengshui 7) means Europe will see some pitfalls in 2008
This is in line with my view that $USD will strike back by 2008 Winter

Australian Dollar

The fall just starts rebounce will not be that soon

2008-Mar-4 HSI aftermarket

As HK stocks are concerned
Mar-5 is the Chinese calendar insect awakening day so I do not exclude the possibility that that
are some market movement pause or reversal ;
but that is as a trap as I believe selling will continue on Mar-6 and Mar-7.
This forecast is based on Tse Meo Tou Shou natal charts

Monday Mar-10 is the Chinese calendar Rooster Day (HSI is 4-Pillar soft gold) so there should be some bottom formation/reversal. By Mar-10 Tse Mei natal chart the reversal/buying should be on Monday afternoon market. 4 pillar sees 3-5 pm as f0rtune hours
BUT STILL TAKE A BEARISH VIEW UNLESS SOME BULL SIGNALS ARE CONFIRMED.

We have two selling break-out gaps, so there is still one more to come

One more thing Taipei Astronomical Museum (www.tam.gov.tw) sees Venus ,Mercury and and
Neptune will be visually close to the Moon on Mar 6 and the (New) Moon will transit from Aquarius to Pisces on 18.45 . So beware if the market will be hectic

Saturday 1 March 2008

My technical parameters for HSI

Using Stockcharts.com, here are my reference technical parameters for HK-HSI forecasts
EMA-100 days
Bollinger Bands (6,2.33)
(34,2.33)
CCI- 88
ROC-10
ULT OSC-8,16,32

Thursday 28 February 2008

DJ aerospace index $DJUSAE

3-tops after some fall , bearish.
Ny reference for China-HK aircraft/airport chARTS

hk43 CP Pokphand (88-4-28)

08 transit Jupiter inconjunct with natal Saturn ; no my 08 bet

hk904 China Green (04-1-13)

Transit 08 Saturn inconjunct with natal jupiter in the 7th house both in retrograde; some foreign-related adversities likely; some chart-topping by now
my guess is about to fall

hk38 First Tractor( 97-6-23)

3 tops evident, guess a sell-off around Aptil and some upsurge in July-August

hk875 Ever Fortune (Tree Seeds) 98-JUl-3

No longer in trade but astrology wise this is a good year see if any surprises in 08

hk2362 Macau Inv Hold (Pesticide n Cosmetics)

Transit 08 Jupiter opposes listing date (03-10-27) natal Saturn
not my 2008 bet

Rogers Agriculture Commodity Index RJA

RJA chart on stockcharts.com sees some topping-off on 08-2-29

hk0682 chaoda modern (Agriculture) 2000-Dec-15

Its lising date Chinese 7-planets natal astrology has ketu (moon node) in its 1st house and fortune and Saturn in the house of illness
I think its surge will come to an end in 2008, beware the month of March

hk8042 Ko Yo Gp (Agriculture) 03-Jul-10

a bet for 08 but not 09, guess breakout in April

The fate of Euro

Euro was born on 1999-Jan-1.
A 4 pillar analysis of this date of birth will see 2009 a bad year for Euro.
This is in line with my previous statement that $USD bulls will strike back by 2008 Winter
Time will tell

Wednesday 27 February 2008

08-2-27 US Dollar Index

By Long term MACD (26-52-13), it seems greenbucks still have a long way to depreciates vs other currencies.
Agree with Black Swan Currency Currents- the de-coupling is that both gold and currencies surge vs green-backs
HK locals will suffer more

Tuesday 26 February 2008

Wild Guess on 08-2-28/29 and 08-Mar-4 HSI

All in GMT+8 time zone-
08-2-27 22:54 the moon will be in 90 deg configuration (square) with Neptune; the Oil/Gold movement might change
08-2-28 09:25 the moon will inconjunct with the aphelion (sun-earth far-distant point)
14:22 the moon will transit from scorpio to sagittarius
08-2-29 10:16 moonphase

Some week-end topping is possible but I think real selling-off should start on 08-3-4(Tues)

HSI 08-2-27 reversal astrology

HSI reverses on 08-2-26 and then upsurges on 08-2-27 :
(1) it is a chinese calendar 'rooster' day (12-earth roots)
(2) the Moon transits from the Libra to Scorpio on 08-2-26 02:08 (GMT+8)
Before it tops on 08-2-19 and starts to fall on 08-2-20
(1)The Sun transits from Aquarius to Pisces (Chinese astrology-Rainwater)
(2) Mercury starts to retrograde

Monday 25 February 2008

SPX futures / Nikkei 225 futures vs April 08

SPX futures and Nillei 225 futures were respectively launched on 21 Apr 82' 9.00am and 3 Sep 88' 8.45am
Their 4 Pillars show the 08 third Chinese calendar month could mean some clashes and changes. That will start on around 4 Apr 08.
I guess it will be the time when the 08 bulls strike back.

British Pound Comeback By 2010 Q2

Using the natal astrology of Queen Elizabeth the Second( 1926-Apr-21 2:40), I bet $STG will rebpunce by 2010 second quarter. We shall see

US Dollar Rebounce ?

Jack Crook of Black Swan Currency Currents favors a Greenback rebounce this year 2008.
I checked the house of fortune of Japanese Emperor Akihito (1933-Dec 23 -around 5am). It seems his 08 fortune is good but that of 09 deterioriates. Also he is a water man (4-pillar) so I think $USD will surge by 08 winter. We shall see

hk1186 China Rail Cons (08-Mar-13)

Astrology of First trading day not impressive
See if any abrupt reversals by June 08
A wild guess only

hk0186 Hong Hua (08-Mar-7)

A oil and gas drilling related company
Astrology of the first listing date not impressive.
My astrology bet is the good days will come by mid 2009
Some surge in 2008 in August and September
A wild guess only

Thursday 21 February 2008

hk.992 Lenovo (94.2.14)

Still bearish,astrolgy bet for a bullish reversal around March, some downside around April;uptrend around May to Sep 08

hk.1800 China Com Constr (06.12.15)

decline-prone;astrology bet for bullish reversal by June

Sunday 17 February 2008

340 China Mining Resources (97.3.26)

my 2008 astrology bet

308 China Travel (92.11.11)

not my 2008 bet

297 Sinochem (96.9.30)

not my 2008 bet

291 China Resources (73.01.15)

not my 2008 bet

270 Guangdong Invest (93.1.8)

bet for mid-Aug

china everbright 257 (.97.2.28)

not my astrology bet

256 China HaiDian (1991.12.10)

My astrology bet especially around July-August

230 MinMetal (91.12.20)

astrology bet = Mar and Aug

203 Denway

See if any foreign input will stimulate the stock price in March

190 hk constr (87.5.29)

astrology caution-July

183 citic fin hold (1980.7.17)

My 2008 astrology bet is an April fall and then a June rally

171 silver grant (72.2.23)

my 2008 astrology bet is July

165 China Everbright (73.2.26)

My astrology bet is ti see if any rally in around May-June

154 BJ Dev (1970.7.25)

My astrology bet is wait till Nov

0152 SZ Holdg (72.9.25)

astrology wonder-will rally lasts to April

144 China Merchants (92-7-15)

Not my 2008 astrology bet beware of April

135 cnpc (73.3.13)

astrology caution-May,Aug,Dec

133 China Merchant Direct Invest

Astrology caution-April ,Sep

119 Polyhk (73-8-30)

Astrology caution-April