RE-竹本疋虫2011年金鑊鏟第一個heads-up…
副題：
“Would you like to meet the mythological 'whipsaw'（神話傳說中的「左一巴、右一巴」；worse monster than Medusa"---
美匯指數響2010/12/17出強力buy-signal；2010/12/28 failed、出sell-signal；前晚再出強力buy-signal……
Goes to show 所謂 T.A. - Technical Analysis 唔係萬能嘅 —— each methodology is bound to fail at least 33% of the time。
好哪，您問小弟 “Yes, we've heard the bad news. What's the benefit of this report，to we?”
Well，“whipsaw” 好少響自由市場嘅自然 “ebb and flow” 出現，因為投資者人心自自然然會傾向bullish/bearish其中一邊，但若無committment時，唔會出現 “whipsaw” 嘅擺幅。舉例：賽馬若無人有committment堅信邊隻馬會跑出，唔會出現兩方大額投注publicly響版上猛力打對台。
“Whipsaw”呢隻怪獸出現時，it usually infers that the market is being manipulated by one, two or more very, very powerful entities.
My first suspicion, as reasonably always, is with the US Federal Reserve.
In the light of this rare, but ＊obvious＊, phenomenon，小弟建議街坊小心自己嘅「單邊」（read：long or short）嘅心理bias，見「危險」就敬請勒一勒馬，收一收油，小心盲追一邊，跌咗落山崖
My Comment
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=UDN&p=D&yr=3&mn=0&dy=0&id=p31913403149
UDN-Power Shares DB Dollar Index Bearish Fund
BB(120,3) BB(60,3) MFI(14) %BB(20,2) MACD(5,44,1)
美元指數期貨
1985年11月20日
2010己丑流月命(酉)流月文昌
流月事業太陽化年祿化運祿,太陰,左輔,右弼
流月田宅武曲化運權年權化月祿;天府化運科年科
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