Saturday 6 October 2012

Crash /Correction ???

John F. Carlucci -Advisor Perspectives i -The $OEXA200R (the percentage of S&P 100 stocks above their 200 DMA) -monthly and -I add a daily chart

Pro-shares ultra-shorts China--Volume by Price upper means a lot bet on this level--they want to short china--BB(6,6) width change means something might happen soon--MFI shows bullish divergence-this is a short fund so bullish diverg means shorts

Links--analysis_tools.asp?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---

The HSCI Quarterly is a freak--big triangle about to break-out with declining ROC(10)

"金融界"chart--恒生香港Red Chips--9/17 H 4113.75---10/5 H 4112.01 (gap jump high open)
double top---but RSI bearish divergence RSI (6) shot below RSI(12) n RSI (24)-the later two cluster together

金融界"chart--恒生中国--RSI bearish divergence--9/17--9780.92--- RSI(6)-81.02---
10/5-9965.16---RSI(5) --73.86

恒生AH股 --KDJ(9,3,3)-J=109.9--D=70.8--big difference btw J&D
Transac value (millions)-shrinks since Sep 7 6050.49 million
last Fri Oct 5-1384.63million

http://inter-market-analysis.com---S/&P 500 - H&S formation in play . target = 1390


Abigail F. Doolittle (Peak theories)--
"it seems the S&P is stuck in sideways and a very good reason to treat the index with care."

Chartrambler cites
 -"Bearish shooting star on this week's NY Coffee chart"--
Ding-Fire-168-A look at ratio chart on EWH: Coffee ratio --Correction is a possibility (EWH is HK i shares in NYSE)

Tim Wood--
"-A Brief Update on Dow Theory and the Current Non-Confirmation-"the non-confirmation with the Transports has continued to grow"

Trading Daze --
"Oct 6 Fiery Mars enters fiery Sagittaruis.
Oct 7 Mars squares Neptune.
Oct 9 The Sun trines Jupiter and Venus trines Pluto.
Oct 10 A long term aspect, Saturn in waning trine to Neptune and Pluto is parallel the North Node.
Oct 15 On a New Moon Mars trines Uranus.
There are of course many more aspects but the above have had a history of occurring near changes in trend.
In addition the SP500 is 17 weeks along the Primary cycle which has an average length of 15-23 weeks, so it is the time frame for a crest and down into the trough"

.THE SPIRIT OF TRUTH BLOG--
 "full-scale "crashes" typically
occurring during a two-week period starting around Tishrei 10 (Yom Kippur) and
climaxing into Tishrei 25-28 on the lunar-based Hebrew calendar.
Tishrei 25-28, the seasonal period of most acute panic in 1929, 1962, 1973 and 1987, will occur from October 11th to 14th this year"

Spiraldates.com spiral calendar
"scores for October 2012
"show a large peak on the 9th,10th, and 11th
and a second smaller peak on the 26th-27th.
Given the Elliott wave picture of
possibly having just completed a large ending diagonal rally on September 14th, there is an increased likelyhood of a rapid selloff and even a crash. The Oct 9th-11th turn date is about 4 days before the new moon on Oct 15th. Chris Carolan in his award-winning paper Autumn Panics has identified the time about
55 hours before the new moon as a likely stopping point of a crash"

VC Moon in Can 090 Sun in Lib on 10/8/2012 7:33 am GMT
空虛月亮在巨蟹座刑太陽在天秤座於2012年10月8日15:33 HK

Moon in Can 090 Uranus in Ari R on 10/7/2012 1:15 pm GM
月亮在巨蟹座刑逆行天王星在白羊座10/7/2012 9:15 pm HK

輝 立 証 券 吳袓同先生
"將19016>19948>19668>20936視作1,2,3,浪的假設仍有效,
並且4浪已在上週四的20424完成, 自20424向上是5浪在運行, 若5浪長度與1浪接近, 這個5浪可以升到21356, 到此僅完成了(3)浪上升,
經(4)浪調整後還有(5)浪上升才完成整組(C)"

Daneric's Elliott Waves---"The leading diagonal did not pan out.
Yet prices are still overlapping in a non-impulsive action since
the late September pullback low. The DJIA made a new high today
and new closing weekly high. The SPX and NASDAQ did not confirm.
Lets take a look again at the DJIA.
We can label it a double zigzag since the
2009 low.
Momentum is waning on a weekly basis.
We have triple negative divergence for instance on the RSI.
Volume is again receding"

Both MCHI (NYSE)--Ishares MSCI China Index Fund and EWH shows bearish divg with % BB(20,9)MCHI did a black candle on Friday



The Mad Hedge Fund Trader---"The Fed’s aggressive monetary move
was largely discounted by the market in the four-month rise
into the announcement. Rather than provide the rocket fuel to
soar higher, the action has raised the floor below it. This all nicely
sets up share prices that are more likely to tread water instead of
visiting the moon.
we have not even touched the 50-day moving average at 1,415
for the (SPX) three week"

TI Singapore's Stait Times Index-- Double Top--?? a breakout or sell-off again

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